THE HFL CRIMSON CHRONICLE
Baker Mayfield throws for 369 yards and four touchdowns and loses by one, Bijan Robinson answers with 212 yards from scrimmage and four touchdowns of his own, and the Chronicle's pick to upset Green Bay is wrong by 26 points. Four teams are left for two conference-championship rematches.
Four games decided who plays for a conference championship, and two of them were decided by exactly one point. Cincinnati remains the league's only unbeaten team, shutting out the side that ended Denver's perfect season a week earlier, 23-0. Green Bay beat the only team that beat it all season, 35-9 — a wider margin than the two teams' first meeting was close. Houston outlasted a 440-yard night from Miami by a single point in this issue's Game of the Week, and Washington held off Arizona by the same margin in a game with seven combined turnovers. Four teams are left, and both remaining games are rematches of results already on the schedule.
Divisional Round Scoreboard
| Cardinals | 34 | Commanders | 35 |
| Texans ★ | 35 | Dolphins | 34 |
| Titans | 0 | Bengals | 23 |
| Eagles | 9 | Packers | 35 |
Eight teams played. Cincinnati and Green Bay, the two conference top seeds, had the week off.
Miami converted 8 of its 10 third downs and finished with 440 total yards, 67 more than Houston, and still lost by one. Baker Mayfield went 22-for-28 for 369 yards and four touchdowns, two of them to D.K. Metcalf on just two catches, and Terry McLaurin caught eight passes for 116 yards and a score. Carlos Wiggins added a rushing touchdown of his own.
Bijan Robinson answered with 156 rushing yards and three touchdowns on 15 carries, plus seven catches for 56 yards and a fourth score — 212 yards from scrimmage in all. Quintin Warner completed 18 of 19 passes for 272 yards and two more touchdowns, and Houston converted 6 of its 10 third downs to Miami's 8. Houston (11-6) advances to the AFC title game at Cincinnati; Miami's season, at 13-4, is over.
Around the League
Seven combined turnovers decided a one-point game. Ben Sykes scored three touchdowns on seven carries for 89 yards, and Rachaad White added a fourth rushing score, while Anthony Richardson Sr threw for only 153 yards and was intercepted once. Jonathan Greenard recovered a fumble and returned it for a touchdown, and Marlon Humphrey and Dewayne Venable each intercepted a pass. Brock Purdy threw for 345 yards and a score on 19-of-28 passing for Arizona, and Rod Gosener caught five passes for 118 yards, but three Arizona giveaways were one too many. Washington (15-2) moves on to face Green Bay for the NFC title; Arizona (13-4) is eliminated.
Cincinnati needed only 226 total yards to shut out the team that had just ended the league's other perfect season. Nicholas Battle went 13-for-13 for 124 yards and a touchdown — a complete reversal from the five interceptions he threw in his last start — and Jaydon Blue ran 15 times for 72 yards and found the end zone once. Marte Mapu and Jihaad Campbell each intercepted a pass for a Bengals defense that took no penalties. Dak Prescott threw for just 106 yards and was intercepted twice for Tennessee, which gained 101 total yards and converted 16.7 percent of its third downs; Marvin Daniels's four catches for 44 yards were the best it could manage. Cincinnati (17-0) hosts the AFC title game. Tennessee's season, which included a wildcard-weekend upset of a 17-0 Denver team, ends at 8-9.
Philadelphia out-gained Green Bay, 326 yards to 288, and lost by 26. Jonathan Taylor ran 24 times for 159 yards and caught two more passes, scoring once on the ground, but Caleb Williams completed only 6 of 15 passes for 52 yards and threw two interceptions. Devon Witherspoon and Mac Heath each picked one off for Green Bay, with Heath returning his 41 yards for a touchdown. Jayden Daniels went 13-for-14 for 264 yards and three touchdowns, spreading them to Matthew Golden, Luther Burden III and Antwon Finley, and Trevor Etienne added a rushing score. Philadelphia (12-5) is eliminated. See this issue's Feature Story.
The All-HFL Weekly Team
Four games, and the honor roll is built straight from their box scores.
QB, Dolphins
HB, Texans
WR, Packers
TE, Cardinals
MIKE, Packers
LEDGE, Commanders
K, Cardinals
Streaks & Trends
- Two of the round's four games were decided by exactly one point — Washington over Arizona and Houston over Miami.
- Cincinnati is the only unbeaten team left, and won its game by the widest margin of the round: 23.
- Green Bay outscored the only team that beat it this season by 26 points the second time around. See this issue's Feature Story.
- Bijan Robinson produced 212 yards from scrimmage and four touchdowns in a one-point win — the biggest individual day of the round, on either side.
- Two defensive touchdowns this week — Mac Heath's interception return for Green Bay and Jonathan Greenard's fumble return for Washington.
- Philadelphia out-gained Green Bay by 38 total yards and lost by 26 — the only team this round to gain more yards than its opponent and still lose.
Milestone Watch
- Cincinnati, AFC. The Bengals are 17-0 across the regular season; a divisional-round win keeps them the only team in either bracket that has not lost all year.
Record Book Watch
Nothing in the tracked single-game top fives moved this week. Riley Patterson's 63-yard field goal is four yards short of the tracked top five; Bijan Robinson's four touchdowns and Baker Mayfield's four touchdown passes both sit outside their categories' top fives as well.
Feature Story: Green Bay Settles the Score
Philadelphia was the only team to beat Green Bay all season — a one-point win at Lambeau in Week 11 — and it was the reason the Chronicle picked the Eagles to do it again in the divisional round. Green Bay won by 26.
Jayden Daniels missed just one throw all afternoon, finishing 13-for-14 for 264 yards, and put three different receivers in the end zone: Matthew Golden, Luther Burden III and Antwon Finley. Trevor Etienne added a rushing touchdown, and Green Bay's defense scored one of its own — Mac Heath returned an interception 41 yards, one of two picks thrown by Caleb Williams, who finished 6-for-15 for 52 yards. Jonathan Taylor gained 179 yards from scrimmage, and Philadelphia still finished with 38 more total yards than Green Bay. None of it mattered.
The pick was built on one fact: Philadelphia already had the answer once. It didn't have it twice. Green Bay is the top seed in the NFC for reasons that had nothing to do with the one game it lost, and Sunday was a reminder of what the other sixteen looked like. The Packers host Washington for the conference title; Philadelphia's season, and the case for picking against Green Bay, both end here.
Building Something: Arizona
Arizona went to Washington at 13-4 and lost by one point in a game with seven combined turnovers — not a moral victory, but a measurement of how close the margin actually was. Brock Purdy went 19-for-28 for 345 yards and a touchdown, and Rod Gosener caught five passes for 118 yards. Riley Patterson made a 63-yard field goal, the longest anyone kicked this round, on a day he also missed one. The Cardinals' three giveaways were the difference in a game decided by one point; take away any single one of them and the season is still going.
Press Row & Transaction Wire
Press Row
Nothing reached the desk this week. This issue's Press Row question: both conference championships are rematches of a regular-season loss — what's different this time? One sentence. Answer it on the Chronicle's submission page and it runs next issue with your name and team on it. Direct invitations this week go to all three coaches with a stake left in the bracket: MrPlanters (Bengals), hypnotic01 (Packers) and nam23 (Texans).
Transaction Wire & Injury Report
Nothing crossed the wire this week. Six players were added to the injury report since last issue: Sam Myers (LEDGE, Bengals), Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah (WILL, Cardinals), Tommy Robinson (C, Giants), Travis Hunter (CB, Patriots), Nnamdi Madubuike (DT, Rams) and Jaylon Jones (CB, Saints). No one came off the list.
Rookie Watch
One rookie quarterback played this week. He was close to perfect.
Nicholas Battle, QB, Bengals. Thirteen completions on thirteen attempts for 124 yards and one touchdown pass, and the Bengals held Tennessee scoreless — seven days after Battle threw five interceptions in the regular-season finale. Cincinnati is 17-0 with him starting every game.
Conference Championship Preview — Week 21
Two games, no byes, both rematches of a regular-season result.
Cincinnati (17-0) beat Houston (11-6) 28-21 in Week 3, at home, the same building this game is played in. Houston has not played the Bengals since.
Green Bay (16-1) beat Washington (15-2) 35-28 in Week 12, at home, the same building this game is played in. It is the identical scoreline margin as Houston-Cincinnati: seven points, on the road, the first time.
Jenna's Picks — Divisional Round: 2-2
The desk owns both misses without much of a defense to offer. Cincinnati over Tennessee was the safe half of the round and it held. Dolphins over Texans and Eagles over Packers were not close to it: Houston has now won two of its last two by identical one-point margins, and the Eagles pick has already been covered above at some length. The postseason record is 6-4; the season total is 207-72-1.
Questions from the Desk
No letters reached the desk this week, so these three questions are the Chronicle's own and are labelled as such. The real mailbag runs with your name on it.
League Poll
Last issue's poll asked which divisional-round matchup readers were most looking forward to. The two votes cast split evenly between Titans-Bengals and Eagles-Packers — and both turned into the round's most decisive results, decided by 23 and 26 points.
Four teams left, two games, both rematches. Cincinnati has not lost all year and gets the team it already beat by seven. Green Bay just beat the only team that ever solved it by 26 and now hosts the team it already beat by seven. Two conference titles, two familiar opponents, and one round left before somebody plays for it all.
Press Row has one question this week and it takes fifteen seconds: both title games are rematches — what's different this time? Answer it, and it runs next issue with your name on it. The poll is live below.
Until next week, the Chronicle stands with all 32.
— Jenna Tulls, Senior HFL Correspondent
Beat Jenna
Every Game of the Week pick, scored. Jenna is 7-1 on the 8 games she has called.
| Member | W | L | Beat Jenna | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MrPlanters NE | 7 | 0 | 1/5 |
| 2 | luke2612 | 1 | 0 | 0/0 |
| 3 | skeem__ | 0 | 1 | 0/0 |
| — | Jenna Tulls DESK | 7 | 1 | — |
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